Pre-Earthquake signals are advanced warnings of a larger seismic event. A better understanding of these processes can help to predict the characteristics of the subsequent mainshock.Pre-Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies presents the latest research on earthquake forecasting and prediction based on observations and physical modeling in China, Greece, Italy, France, Japan, Russia, Taiwan, and the United States.
Volume highlights include:
Describes the earthquake processes and the observed physical signals that precede themExplores the relationship between pre-earthquake activity and the characteristics of subsequent seismic eventsEncompasses physical, atmospheric, geochemical, and historical characteristics of pre-earthquakesIllustrates thermal infrared, seismoionospheric, and other satellite and ground-based pre-earthquake anomaliesApplies these multidisciplinary data to earthquake forecasting and prediction
Written for seismologists, geophysicists, geochemists, physical scientists, students and others,Pre-Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies offers an essential resource for understanding the dynamics of pre-earthquake phenomena from an international and multidisciplinary perspective.
Contributors vii
Preface xi
Acknowledgments xiii
Part I: Historical Development of Pre-Earthquake Phenomena Studies
1 International Cooperation in PreEarthquake Studies: History and New Directions
Seiya Uyeda and Toshiyasu Nagao 3
2 Earthquake Precursor Studies in Japan
Masashi Hayakawa 7
3 PreEarthquake Observations and Their Application in Earthquake Prediction in China: A Review of Historical and Recent Progress
Hui Wang, Yongxian Zhang, Jie Liu, Xuhui Shen, Huaizhong Yu, Zaisen Jiang, and Guomin Zhang 19
4 Multidisciplinary Earthquake Precursor Studies in Taiwan: A Review and Future Prospects
YiBen Tsai, JannYenq(Tiger) Liu, TzayChyn Shin, HongYuan Yen, and ChiehHung Chen 41
5 Contributions to a History of Earthquake Prediction Research
Giovanni Martinelli 67
Part II: Latest Physical Models and Concepts of Pre-Earthquake Processes
6 LithosphereAtmosphereIonosphereMagnetosphere CouplingA Concept for PreEarthquake Signals Generation
Sergey Pulinets, Dimitar Ouzounov, Alexander Karelin, and Dmitry Davidenko 79
7 Electrical Coupling Between the Ionosphere and Surface Charges in the Earthquake Fault Zone
ChengLing Kuo, YiYing Ho, and LouChuang Lee 99
Part III: Pre-Earthquake Seismic Phenomena
8 ShortTerm Foreshocks and Earthquake Prediction
Gerassimos Papadopoulos, George Minadakis, and Katerina Orfanogiannaki127
9 Recent Developments in the Detection of Seismicity Patterns for the Italian Region
Antonella Peresan 149
10 Combining Probabilistic Seismicity Models with Precursory Information
Peter Shebalin 173
Part IV: Ground Geochemical and Electromagnetic Observations of Major Seismicity
11 Continuous Monitoring of Fluid and Gas Geochemistry for Seismic Study in Taiwan
ChingChou Fu and LouChuang Lee 199
12 Geochemical and FluidRelated Precursors of Earthquakes: Previous and Ongoing Research Trends
Giovanni Martinelli and Andrea Dadomo 219
13 Statistical Analysis and Assessment of Ultralow Frequency Magnetic Signals in Japan As Potential Earthquake Precursors
Katsumi Hattori and Peng Han 229
Part V: Atmospheric/Thermal Signals Associated with Major Earthquakes
14 Robust Satellite Techniques for Detecting Preseismic Thermal Anomalies
Valerio Tramutoli, Carolina Filizzola, Nicola Genzano, and Mariano Lisi 243
15 Thermal Radiation Anomalies Associated with Major Earthquakes
Dimitar Ouzounov, Sergey Pulinets, Menas C. Kafatos, and Patrick Taylor 259
Part VI: Ionospheric Processes Associated with Major Earthquakes
16 VeryLow to LowFrequency Sounding of Ionospheric Perturbations and Possible Association with Earthquakes
Masashi Hayakawa, Tomokazu Asano, Alexander Rozhnoi, and Maria Solovieva 277
17 Application of Total Electron Content Derived from the Global Navigation Satellite System for Detecting Earthquake Precursors
JannYenq (Tiger) Liu, Katsumi Hattori, and YuhIng Chen 305
18 Statistical Analysis of the Ionospheric Density Recorded by the DEMETER Satellite During Seismic Activity
Michel Parrot and Mei Li 319
Part VII: Interdisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Forecasts/Predictions
19 Significant Cases of Preseismic Thermal Infrared Anomalies
Valerio Tramutoli, Nicola Genzano, Mariano Lisi, and Nicola Pergola331
20 Multiparameter Assessment of PreEarthquake Atmospheric Signals
Dimitar Ouzounov, Sergey Pulinets, JannYenq (Tiger) Liu, Katsumi Hattori, and Peng Han 339
Index 361
